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Sales Slump

Tesla publishes downbeat sales estimates by sell-side analysts

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The news: Tesla has published a list of deliveries estimates by sell-side analysts for Q4 2025 and beyond.

The unusual move showed lower-than-expected sales for the three months to December.

The numbers: The estimates show analysts on average expect Elon Musk's electric vehicle company to deliver 422,850 cars in the fourth quarter, down 15% year on year.

It means Tesla is facing its second straight drop in annual vehicle sales, with analysts forecasting 1.6 million deliveries, down more than 8% from a year earlier.

The estimates were provided by 20 sell-side analysts comprising Daiwa, DB, Wedbush, OpCo, Canaccord, Baird, Wolfe, Exane, GS, RBC, Evercore ISI, Barclays, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, UBS, Jefferies, Needham & Co, HSBC, Cantor Fitzgerald, and William Blair.


By Hugo Mathers