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This week's mid-year budget update is expected to be a reality check for Australia

Treasurer Jim Chalmers will be under pressure to explain his approach to the nation's finances when he delivers the Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook.

Treasurer Jim Chalmers will deliver the mid-year economic and fiscal outlook this week. AAP/Russell Freeman.

Treasurer Jim Chalmers has had the good fortune of delivering two back-to-back surpluses over his last two budgets. But this week's upcoming mid-year update presents a completely different set of economic and political challenges.

Here’s what you need to know about the key economic data releases this week.

Budget update

What: 2024-25 Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook (MYEFO)

When: Wednesday 18th December 2024

What to expect: Get ready to hear the words “debt” and “deficit” a lot this week. The government said on Sunday evening that MYEFO would reveal the first downwards revision in company tax receipts since 2020, by $8.5 billion over the next four years, on the back of weaker commodity volumes and the Chinese economy. Mining exports will be downgraded by over $100 billion over the years to 2027-28.

Independent economist Chris Richardson has already tipped the cash headline deficit to be $20 billion worse than was forecast back in May.