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Unemployment rate fell to 4.4% in May

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The news: The unemployment rate fell to 4.4% in May, in line with the consensus expectation and lower than the 4.5% in April, according to the latest data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics.

In trend terms unemployment increased to 4.4% from 4.3%

The numbers: The total number of employed people grew by 40,000 while the number of unemployed fell by 18,000. Full-time employment grew by 5,000 and part-time employment grew by 35,000.

Hours worked fell by 1.1% in May following a 0.9% rise in April.

The participation rate rose marginally to 66.7%. Participation for men fell by 0.1 percentage points to 70.6% while it rose by 0.1 percentage points to 62.8% for women.

The underemployment rate rose by 0.1 percentage points to 5.9% in May.

The context: ABS head of labour statistics Sean Crick said the fall in hours worked in May brings the measure “back in line with employment growth since the end of the pandemic in June 2022”. He said hours worked in April was supported by less people taking leave over the Easter holiday period.

The fall in unemployment while inflationary pressures persist, with underlying inflation for May ticking up and remaining higher than preferred by the RBA, is likely to lend further credence to the RBA’s efforts to fight the recent inflationary shock proactively.

After the decision to hold interest rates steady in June, RBA governor Michele Bullock said inflationary risks were still tilted to the upside. At the time, the monetary policy board said it will do “what it considers necessary to achieve that outcome, including increasing the cash rate target further if required”.

What they said: “Over the past few months, we have recorded higher proportions of unemployed people waiting to start jobs who then remained unemployed in the following month,” Crick said.

“The backlog of people waiting to start a job has eased in May, contributing to the 40,000 rise in employment and 18,000 fall in unemployed persons.”

The sources: ABS media release, ABS data


By Brandon How