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Canva’s IPO will test whether Australia can turn success into momentum

As Canva readies for a US listing, Australia’s startup scene faces a bigger question: can one giant exit spark a cycle of reinvestment and growth?

Canva’s looming IPO will test whether Australian tech can turn success into sustained momentum, argues Carta’s Bhavik Vashi. Canva.

As 2026 begins, the mood across Australia’s startup ecosystem feels hopeful, cautious and unusually focused on one company: Canva.

With a reported valuation near $65 billion and growing expectations of a US listing this year, Canva has become both a symbol of Australia’s progress and a mirror reflecting its structural challenges. For many of the country’s leading venture funds, the outcome of this IPO will shape how global investors view the next chapter of Australian tech.

But when an ecosystem’s confidence rests heavily on a single exit, it raises a deeper question: do we have a repeatable path to liquidity, or just one extraordinary outlier?

Over the past decade, Australia’s startup story has been one of genuine creation. We’ve built globally recognised software businesses and world-class talent. Yet we’ve struggled to deliver regular, high-quality exits.

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